Goalie Post Ramblings: Dec 10 2014

Dec 10th 2014, 8:58am EST

By Jason Banks

Happy Wednesday all,

Shall we start on Pekka Rinne? How has this guy been?! Many were selling due to his hip issues which usually sound like a career killer, but if you were lucky enough to be at the last DobberHockey event, you would have known better and attempted to buy low. Justin Goldman explained the hip issue Rinne had been suffering and discussed how the procedure would actually make him more flexible and stronger in net. Basically they rounded off a bone in the hip to make it rotate in the joint easier rather than grinding. Anyway, I heard a TV analyst refer to him as 'arguably the best goalie in the league right now', I had to pause and think about it, then agreed. My thoughts immediately jump to Hendrik Lundqvist, but the King hasn't been overly impressive this season outside of shutout nights. Next would be Carey Price, who has been good, but not elite. The question starts to become 'can Rinne keep this pace?', I feel that the stats aren't unmaintainable and I feel they could get better. Nashville has $9.5 million to spend and this looks like the season to take a massive run, I could see them adding a D for depth and stability and more strength and punch up front. If you are looking at taking a run, Rinne would be a worthy buy in my eyes.

From the best to an MVP, I don't think any goalie means more to their team than Sergei Bobrovsky. He isn't single handedly winning games for the team, but Goalie Bob keeps a beat up team within striking distance almost every night. Philly let a real good goalie go, sad thing was they seen and knew what they had. Like Rinne, Bobrovsky's numbers should improve as the team gets healthier.

Speaking of Columbus, let's give a shout to Anton Forsberg. He made his NHL debut this year and it was rather forgettable, but in the AHL he is 11-2 while slashing 1.76/.937. He has won 10 straight and has yet to allow more than three goals… at that level. His outlook seems very strong as a rather under the radar prospect.

Well Ottawa made a coaching change Monday afternoon, what does this do for the goalies? Very little. Expect the status quo from this tandem. Dave Cameron has said some positive things about tightening the strings on the back side of the puck and helping Erik Karlsson become more responsible. But I don\'t see a big difference coming with this team till the off season.

New Jersey is having a funny issue at the moment, its rather sad when you\'re trying to figure out a backup for a guy that will likely see 65-70 games. Cory Schneider has been rather good considering the lack of talent in front of him, but is currently on pace for 76 games, that rate is too high and you will burn out your talent unnecessarily. Kinkaid should be given the gig and has just pulled off an excellent performance vs Chicago of all teams, but they seem to not want him sitting for long periods when he can be passed up and down. At any rate, I don't know way I'm interested in this development, but I am.

Semyon Varlamov is out week to week for now, so Calvin Pickard will continue to work on unseating Reto Berra. I've mentioned before that I have no faith in Pickard, I'd be dealing him before Varlamov comes back for the best value your likely to get.

How the mighty are falling, Mike Smith sir, I think you have played over your head too long. Really, Smith is better than his numbers are showing, not much but a little. The days of talking about him as one of the higher end starters in the game are over as quickly as his name was thrown in. Look for Smith's numbers to improve but not to the point your buying him for anything more than insurance.

Others coming down to earth, Fred Andersen who's numbers are normalizing and after an ugly couple of weeks in which he has still won four of his last six starts. Andersen is going to yield starts to Ilya Bryzgalov within a week and go back to his optimal role as a decent 1B. Also Darcy Kuemper has given up 14 goals while splitting his last quad of games. Josh Harding seems be returning at the proper time to take back control of the net going forward.

Jonas Enroth is playing rather strong for a weak Buffalo team. He and Michal Neuvirth are keeping the rebuilding Sabers respectable. Enroth has been apprenticing behind one of the better netminders in the game and he looks rather similar in the net. Enroth could become an above average starter in the league, but to get there the team will need to grow with him. Enroth has a .926 SV% the past pair of weeks.

I'll give you a Championship winning tip, Antti Niemi is an excellent goalie to tandem something with. Niemi is playing some decent hockey right now, but his trends show that he peaks after December. Niemi posts a 57.1 winning percentage and 12.4 games per shutout with a .913 SV% in the first trio of months in the season. After the New Year's ball drops, Niemi's win rate rises to 58.6, but more impressive his shutout rate drops to 9.5 games and stops pucks at a rate of nearly .917. You have only a few weeks to get him at a decent price for a consistent performer. As a bonus, he performs strongest on Saturdays, Thursdays, Tuesdays… the nights your most likely to need to make goalie decisions. (is also really good on Wednesdays, but you only get a couple of those a year, that's usually a backup's night)

Analytics eat your heart out.

Petr Mrazek's career beginning to his career seems rather similar to Josh Harding… In limited games he has performed very strongly overall, and both compiled a pair of shutouts in their first eight starts. I should know, I\'ve own them through this frustrating period of limited action. Mrazek\'s outlook is very strong with his talent. I'm projecting him settle at the lower end of the top 10 goalie rankings in the next three years while taking over in Detroit.

There are a few rumors circulating that Malcolm Subban is available to be had if you\'re willing to throw a stabilizing veteran skater to the Burins. The only names I\'ve heard mentioned were from Edmonton and included David Perron and Jordan Eberle (not in the same package obviously), but I\'ve also heard possible interest from Washington.

Jeff Zatkoff started his AHL return poorly stopping less than 75% of the shots in his first games but has not allowed more than three in the 11 games since. Zatkoff belongs in the NHL, someone needs to find him a home.

Richard Bachman has turned it on as of late, with a shutout and three wins while Edmonton was floundering, he might have gotten a recall had the Oilers not snuck one out vs San Jose Sunday. He is by no means a solution, but an option.

Another AHL regular stoking the fire is Mike McKenna who has won six straight while giving up only 10 goals in his past seven games. Since October his GAA is 1.50 with a .950%. I could draw a connection that he might be trying to put pressure on Mike Smith, but that\'s not at all the case, he is simply an organizational insurance option they needed after losing Mark Visentin and Mike Lee before the season started. Lee has returned to active duty over the weekend.

Los Angeles has another one coming, J.F Berube currently ranks ninth amongst AHL goalies in GAA and is only a handful of minutes behind Conner Hellebuyck in a battle to be the most played AHL goalie. Berube has one of the smallest workload of goalies at any level, he only sees about 25 shots per game. Berube is a good prospect with a decent potential ceiling, but he is two years away at the moment.

This weekend the Marlies allowed Antoine Bibeau the ability to start and finish the weekend with Chris Gibson eating the 'sandwich' game. I mention this because Bibeau only allowed one goal in the two wins. It's likely he earned more leash. Bibeau now has a pair of shutouts in nine pro games.

I got to see Mike Condon play for Hamilton for the first time in a while. He is an under the radar prospect who Minnesota was interested in and got a good look at him as a tryout in Houston to end the 2012-13 season. Just one month after the tryout started, Montreal swooped in and signed him to an entry level deal in an unorthodox move. Condon becomes a RFA and is competing hard to be with Zach Fucale leading the Montreal affiliate next season while providing organizational insurance.

Most don't look in the ECHL often, but I do! The most interesting story at the moment is that of the Brampton Beast's netminding duo of Trevor Cann and Grant Rollheiser. The Beast were a Central Hockey League team that got bumped up a tier less than three weeks before the regular season started, they are very much out classed at this point since they did not have a chance to sign talent in the offseason for the proper level of competition. For a Canadian team, their roster only includes Canadian players most from Ontario. Trevor Cann was a low level prospect for Colorado a few years ago, while Grant Rollheiser was a Maple Leaf hope and dream that the organization elected to release before he signed a contract. Currently they are both facing over 40 shots per game and maintaining a SV% above .910… (Cann – 44 shots/game with .913% & Rollheiser – 40 shots/game with .923%). Neither potential, but interesting none the less.

I need to give a shout out to undrafted Erie Otter, rookie, Daniel Dekoning. He had a nine game winning streak on the go until he lost in a shootout to the powerful Belleville Bulls. He is 6-3 and only 18 years old just entering draft eligibility seems like a project goalie for someone.

Finally, let's rehash Canadian Olympian, Shannon Szabados in the SPHL. She has now won four straight games while compiling a 2.81 GAA and .923 SV% in six games this year. In every game she has faced more than 34 shots, including a pair of games with over 40 (42 & 44). She is ranked fourth in SV% of the 16 goalies who have played more than 3 full games thus far. When the Columbus Cottonmouths first acquired Szabados they said she was not a gimmick, and after her four games of looking questionable, the girl has game!

Other Ramblings

Avalanche & Stars Goalie Situation, Budaj and More
by Jake Schenkman - November 13, 2016 After those first 5 games, Andersen has turned his game around. Don't expect many wins from him this year as even as he's been putting up 40+ saves quite a bit lately, Leafs have a very young team and won't get him many wins and he won't be posting a great GAA.
Nov 13th 2016, 12:12am EST
NHL Start of the Season Notes
By Jake Schenkman Just a few thoughts of mine on some goalies this season: I like what Carolina has done as a team the past year but I don't understand the logic in going back to the combo of Ward/Lack this year after what they saw last year. I get bringing Lack back for this year but with Ward becoming a UFA after last year, and seeing where he's been the past few years, how do you sign him at $3.
Oct 13th 2016, 11:53pm EDT
Top Keeper Picks
By Brian Lemenager (@WeakGloveSide) With the season winding down, I thought it'd be appropriate to provide some guidance for keeper leagues on who I think the top goalies are going into next season. I've broken them out into a few categories.
Mar 28th 2016, 12:52pm EDT
Undercover Good Matchups & Games This Week
By Brian Lemenager (@WeakGloveSide) Last week, I gave you a group of teams that may look like good matchups for your goalie, but when looking at their shot and chance generation, they may be fairly risky. This week, the plan was to provide a group of teams that, based on their record, are thought of as good teams but present an opportunity for a quality start.
Mar 21st 2016, 8:12pm EDT
Undercover Teams to Avoid
By Brian Lemenager (@WeakGloveSide) Teams to Avoid The playoffs are here for standard 12 man Yahoo! Leagues, so matchups matter now more than ever. I tweet out what matchups I like daily from @WeakGloveSide, and if you follow you probably notice the trends of teams I like to start against and ones I avoid.
Mar 14th 2016, 12:46pm EDT
Since The Trade Deadline . . .
By Brian Lemenager (@WeakGloveSide) The trade Deadline is one of the biggest days in the NHL as it gives teams one last opportunity to bolster their rosters for a playoff push. While this year's deadline was a bit quieter than past years, a number of teams made significant additions to their team that should impact how you view them when choosing matchups for goalies.
Mar 7th 2016, 1:08pm EST
Surging Into the Playoffs
By Brian Lemenager Playoffs are only two weeks away for standard Yahoo leagues and getting hot at the right time is just as important in fantasy as it is in the NHL. So for those looking to make a push for that playoff spot I\'ve organized the top goalies by Yahoo season long ranking and provided their stats over the month of February to give you an idea of who to utilize for your late season push.
Feb 29th 2016, 1:00pm EST
Surging Into the Playoffs
Playoffs are only two weeks away for standard Yahoo leagues and getting hot at the right time is just as important in fantasy as it is in the NHL. So for those looking to make a push for that playoff spot I\'ve organized the top goalies by Yahoo season long ranking and provided their stats over the month of February to give you an idea of who to utilize for your late season push.
Feb 29th 2016, 12:57pm EST
Goals Saved Above Average
By Brian Lemenager (@WeakGloveSide) A few weeks ago I wrote an article about Quality Starts by goalies and argued that some goalies may just be suffering from bad teams in front of them. After looking at home and away save percentages last week I wanted to return to that idea and present a different statistic that measured the topic in a similar manner.
Feb 22nd 2016, 11:02am EST
Home vs Away
By Brian Lemenager (@WeakGloveSide) In sports, the common thought is teams perform better when playing in their own stadium. Whether it's due to familiarity, the fan support or the comfort of a certain routine I think most can agree it generally holds true.
Feb 15th 2016, 9:32am EST
The Correlation Between PDO and Possession Metrics
By Teri Chazau (@terichazau) With the advanced stats community continuing to grow and gain influence, it is important now more than ever to understand how these statistics play off of each other. Even when stats seem to stack in a certain team's favor, you have to understand how in practice things might not play out as such.
Feb 10th 2016, 11:41pm EST
Quality Starts
By Brian Lemenager (@WeakGloveSide) Last week, I tweeted what I thought was an interesting stat from @WeakGloveSide about the Devils and Cory Schneider. Up to the All Star Break, when Schneider was starting and the Devils scored more than one goal they were 22-1-3.
Feb 8th 2016, 8:44pm EST
Goaliepost Ramblings for Feb.7, '16
By Jason Banks So lots to discuss since we are past the All-Star showcase, let's dive into one of two non-recognized holidays for hockey fans, The Deadline. All year there are lots of rumors of goalies losing jobs and needing to move, but very few places to go.
Feb 7th 2016, 12:55pm EST
Why Jon Quick is the Best Goalie in Keeper Leagues
By Teri Chazau (@terichazau) Since the NHL began tracking advanced stats, the Los Angeles Kings have put on a clinic in dominating the charts. Three of the past four seasons, including the current one, the Kings have ranked first in the league in possession numbers.
Feb 4th 2016, 7:05pm EST
Goalie Starts for the Rest of the Season
By Brian Lemenager (@WeakGloveSide) The All-Star game limited the games on the NHL slate this week but I wanted to provide a simple breakdown of the remainder of the season. This article will be more useful for those in points only leagues where number of starts matter more, but it also could be valuable to those looking to make some moves before the deadline in their respective league.
Feb 1st 2016, 9:38am EST
Team Offense Rankings
By Teri Chazau (@terichazau) To supplement last week's team defense article, this week we will look at what teams sport the most dangerous offenses in the league from a daily fantasy standpoint by looking at how many shots they take for each goal they score. The teams at the top should be avoided in matchups as they leave goaltenders little opportunity to compensate for the points lost for goals against.
Jan 28th 2016, 12:02pm EST
Goalie Save % By Shot Danger
By Brian Lemenager (@WeakGloveSide) Last week, @terichazau introduced the idea that when looking at the ratio of shots against per goals against, we can determine the quality of shots a team surrenders. The higher average number of shots to goals, the lower quality of chances.
Jan 25th 2016, 12:56am EST
Team Defense Rankings
By Teri Chazau (@terichazau) It seems like every week I find a way to mention how team defense is just as if not more important than goalies themselves when picking netminders for both daily and season long fantasy play. This week, I will rank each team based on a simplification of their team defense.
Jan 21st 2016, 12:11am EST
Second Half Projections
By Teri Chazau (@Terichazau) When it comes to a goalie in fantasy hockey, the team around him often can be more important than the goaltender himself. In this article, I'm going to look at teams whose goaltenders could benefit from improved play in the second half of the season, as well as those you should expect to regress.
Jan 14th 2016, 12:12am EST
Capitalizing on Rink Stat Biases
By Teri Chazau (@terichazau) In any kind of fantasy matchup, the difference between a win and a loss can come down to a single shot or a single block. With such a small margin for error, it is critical that you take advantage of all the information available to you on any given night.
Jan 7th 2016, 1:09am EST
Advanced Stats NHL Context
By Brian Lemenager (@WeakGloveSide) Given @terichazau recent introduction of some advanced statistics used to evaluate both individual players and teams, I figured it best to give some context to those statistics. I'll start with PDO.
Jan 4th 2016, 11:14am EST
Advanced Statistics 200
By Teri Chazau (@terichazau) After covering the basics of possession numbers in last week's article, it's time to delve deeper into the world of advanced statistics. Too often I see supposed authorities of sports writing stipulating about the implications of certain stats only to recognize that they really don't know what they're talking about.
Dec 30th 2015, 11:01pm EST
Advanced Statistics 101
By Teri Chazau (@terichazau) With advanced statistics continuing to grow in popularity, they have managed to creep onto the fantasy scene as well. Consequently, I wanted to educate our audience with a little introduction to advanced statistics, also known as possession statistics, so that you may apply them when considering players of any position for your roster.
Dec 24th 2015, 11:12am EST
Hot or Not
By Brian Lemenager (@WeakGloveSide) This week I look at how goalies have been playing the past month. We\'re moving into the heart of the NHL season and teams should be settling in to who they are and forming their identity.
Dec 21st 2015, 11:27am EST
Why The Butterfly Is So Effective
By Teri Chazau (@terichazau) It seems crazy to think that mere decades ago the butterfly was not a technique. It took a series of events, beginning with the introduction of the goalie mask and culminating in the likes of Vladislav Tretiak and Patrick Roy, to cement the butterfly as a legitimate style of goaltending.
Dec 17th 2015, 9:14am EST
Best Teams for Goalie Starts
By Brian Lemenager (@WeakGloveSide) Drafting the best players is important in every fantasy league. However, exploiting matchups allows owners to squeeze the best out of their rosters and maximize success over the course of the season.
Dec 14th 2015, 9:01am EST
In Search Of More Goals
By Teri Chazau (@terichazau) It's obvious at this point how the NHL views its profits more goals = more fans = more money. Changes dating back to the 2004-05 lockout have largely entailed an eye for more scoring.
Dec 10th 2015, 9:23am EST
3 Stars of the Week & Looking Ahead
By Brian Lemenager (@WeakGloveSide) 3: Garret Sparks & his pads Sparks posted a shutout in his first career NHL start and did so in style rocking some of the best pads I've seen to date. He stumbled in his second start against Winnipeg surrendering 6 goals but he was able to rebound against the Blues, stopping 27 of 28 shots and winning his second game in three starts.
Dec 7th 2015, 9:11am EST
Hidden Gems in Net for Season Long Fantasy
By Teri Chazau (@terichazau) #1 Michael Neuvirth (PHI) five wins, . 939 save %, 3 shutouts The Flyers have been a slow starting team in recent years but always seem to turn on the jets as the season wears on, soyou can expect some offensive support to Neuvirth's stellar numbers thus far.
Dec 3rd 2015, 9:41am EST
November 4 Goalie Ramblings
Just a few ramblings and notes from around the league: We will start off in Calgary where they are a mess in net. Hiller is gone for at least another few days and Ramo has called up from the dead and started the last two games where he's given up 4 and 5 goals, respectively.
Nov 4th 2015, 10:02am EST
November 4 Goalie Ramblings
Just a few ramblings and notes from around the league: We will start off in Calgary where they are a mess in net. Hiller is gone for at least another few days and Ramo has called up from the dead and started the last two games where he's given up 4 and 5 goals, respectively.
Nov 4th 2015, 10:01am EST
November 4 Goalie Ramblings
Just a few ramblings and notes from around the league: We will start off in Calgary where they/\'re a mess in net. Hiller is gone for at least another few days and Ramo has called up from the dead and started the last two games where he\'s given up 4 and 5 goals, respectively.
Nov 4th 2015, 9:49am EST
September 11, 2015
Big announcement! For the first time ever, Goalie Post is offering FREE email notifications. Yep.
Sep 11th 2015, 5:26pm EDT
Goalie Post Ramblings Feb 10, 2015
By Jake Schenkman Just some quick notes regarding some goalie tandems around the league. .
Feb 10th 2015, 10:31am EST
Goalie Post Ramblings Jan 21, 2015
By Jason Banks We are nearing the all-star break, leading into deadline transactions and we are starting to see interesting situations develop. Ryan Miller is trucking along, at an elite pace since late-December.
Jan 21st 2015, 10:30am EST
Goalie Post Ramblings Jan 8, 2015
By Jason Banks Welcome back all to a new year and a time to heat up down the stretch before the trade deadline! We have to start with Semyon Varlamov after his huge 54 save shutout vs Chicago last night. As impressive as he was last season with 41 wins, last season he only compiled a pair of shutouts, while last night\'s blanking was his third in only 21 games.
Jan 8th 2015, 8:39am EST
Goalie Post Ramblings Dec 30, 2014
By Jake Schenkman Here's a few updates on happenings around the league: Brian Elliott will be back in the crease tonight after Brodeur got a shutout last night. Hitchcock hinted that they'll be carrying 3 goalies for now but it seems like Brodeur will be gone sooner rather than later, and I just don't see another team taking him unless they're desperate.
Dec 30th 2014, 11:40am EST
Goalie Post Ramblings Dec 19, 2014
By Jake Schenkman Just some quick notes on some goalie injuries and some possible extra starts. Doesn't seem like Bishop's injury is long term as the coach has said there's a shot he'll be back Tuesday.
Dec 19th 2014, 11:12am EST
Goaliepost Ramblings: Dec 5 2014
By Jason Banks Happy December everyone, By now we are all into the eighth week of fantasy and it is time to start solving major team problems, there have been several moves in the past few days that could throw Band-Aids on your goaltending problems or create some. Up there with Josh Harding breaking his foot kicking a wall, Corey Crawford hurts his foot stumbling leaving a Rise Against concert.
Dec 4th 2014, 10:22am EST
Goalie Post Ramblings: Nov 26th 2014
Hello all, Jason Banks here, Dobber and co. have called me up to help watch over the world of netminding for fantasy poolies.
Nov 26th 2014, 1:32pm EST
Monday Night Review
By Jake Schenkman So Fleury becomes the third youngest goalie to get to 300 wins. I can't see I saw that coming but good for him as this is a big accomplishment and he's having a fantastic year.
Nov 25th 2014, 12:27am EST
Throwback Thursday
By Jake Schenkman Reminder that the Sabres-Rangers game that was scheduled for tonight has been postponed due to the storm in Buffalo. As of now, there has been no make up date announced.
Nov 21st 2014, 1:11am EST
Quiet Wednesday in Hockey
Cam Talbot had 30 saves in a shutout win for the Rangers against Steve Mason and the Flyers. Mason could not be faulted at all in this one and actually kept it close for the most part.
Nov 20th 2014, 9:01am EST
Sunday Night Ramblings
By Jake Schenkman Talk about making your NHL debut in style. Troy Grosenick had a 45 save shutout in his NHL debut against Khudobin and the Hurricanes.
Nov 17th 2014, 12:31am EST
Saturday Night Goalie Review
By Jake Schenkman - Rask brought the Bruins back in the win column with 33 saves over the Canes. Ward had a decent game, and while Khudobin will start today, Ward will be right back in next game.
Nov 16th 2014, 11:37am EST
Throwback Thursday
We start off with the Varlamov and the Avs beating Lundqvist and the Rangers. I am kind of surprised with this as I thought the Rangers were turning it around and Lundqvist had his A game going but Varlamov was great in this one and pretty much stole the two points for the Avs.
Nov 14th 2014, 9:23am EST
Throwback Thursday
We start off with the Varlamov and the Avs beating Lundqvist and the Rangers. I am kind of surprised with this as I thought the Rangers were turning it around and Lundqvist had his A game going but Varlamov was great in this one and pretty much stole the two points for the Avs.
Nov 14th 2014, 9:22am EST
Tuesday Night Specials
By Jake Schenkman The Devils were led back in the win column by Schneider last night. After a couple bad games, he made at least four spectacular saves last night with helped them beat the Wild.
Nov 12th 2014, 9:19am EST
Monday Night Review
By Jake Schenkman Rask and the Bruins scored two late goals on Schneider in the second period to win this one. Schneider admittedly wasn't happy with his performance and there's a chance we see Kinkaid start tonight.
Nov 11th 2014, 9:56am EST
Saturday Night Goalie Review
By Jake Schenkman In the lone afternoon game, Montoya gave Luongo a rare night off and unfortunately, the Panthers took off the 3rd period which gave Al Montoya the loss. Ramo got into a start, and while he played well, I figure Hiller is back in there next game.
Nov 9th 2014, 3:40pm EST
Struggling Goaltenders
I posted this on Puck Daddy earlier today, but here is a snippet relative to goaltenders. Specifically - the struggling ones Cam Ward, John Gibson, Steve Mason and Semyon Varlamov.
Oct 23rd 2014, 10:34pm EDT
Berra, Bobrovsky, and Braden
by Justin Goldman It has been a really fun start to the season when it comes to scouting backups and prospects. With 49 goalies appearing in games so far (you could say that's 19 backups), minutes have been really spread out in Week 1.
Oct 14th 2014, 2:26am EDT
On Steve Mason and Mike Smith
by Dobber For our new feature on Goalie Post, we've taken a page from DobberHockey and created a Ramblings. I'll weigh in with my thoughts, but you can also expect content from goalie expert Justin Goldman, as well as Goalie Post manager Jake (known as "smack" in the Forum).
Oct 11th 2014, 11:10am EDT
Test for the ramblings
This is a test for the ramblings. This is a test for the ramblings.
Oct 10th 2014, 11:32pm EDT